Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.785983 10.887549 12.073446 13.446886 14.996029 16.691868 18.692427
2025-06-29 7.775304 9.198075 10.837044 12.871685 15.339428 18.247611 21.952220
2025-07-06 6.435977 8.027903 9.972812 12.539500 15.860868 20.044985 25.764412
2025-07-13 5.663351 7.411362 9.664493 12.810423 17.134997 22.937212 31.423035
2025-07-20 5.061643 6.916321 9.425725 13.115072 18.478434 26.111630 38.014757
2025-07-27 4.517592 6.415928 9.098770 13.232273 19.557506 29.065434 44.811893
2025-08-03 3.990174 5.863996 8.616836 13.040357 20.131300 31.336905 50.958631
2025-08-10 3.545683 5.374524 8.157589 12.805371 20.582607 33.459492 57.224169
2025-08-17 3.175125 4.950915 7.742011 12.572282 20.984770 35.537523 63.769147
2025-08-24 2.878528 4.608149 7.409985 12.424094 21.494074 37.854946 71.159135
2025-08-31 2.640739 4.333407 7.154589 12.366599 22.142548 40.502820 79.668807
2025-09-07 2.495119 4.196285 7.113211 12.676836 23.501145 44.681819 92.090001
2025-09-14 2.291395 3.941959 6.847365 12.556102 24.050094 47.429475 102.212832
2025-09-21 2.085570 3.663090 6.507677 12.252446 24.193582 49.379499 111.006916
2025-09-28 1.922255 3.444987 6.256033 12.087787 24.596508 51.946082 121.830620
2025-10-05 1.840337 3.370013 6.265898 12.450402 26.175549 57.387848 141.044236
2025-10-12 1.765199 3.299996 6.276915 12.815582 27.816810 63.273452 162.913123
2025-10-19 1.674829 3.190996 6.198093 12.976767 29.016443 68.322619 183.833944
2025-10-26 1.561785 3.025846 5.987469 12.819578 29.438388 71.509992 200.271696
2025-11-02 1.454692 2.863048 5.765450 12.608866 29.698243 74.328449 216.375545
2025-11-09 1.357105 2.711345 5.552248 12.392617 29.912612 77.069185 233.011978
2025-11-16 1.274698 2.584550 5.380885 12.255179 30.311266 80.399908 252.551519
2025-11-23 1.205964 2.481206 5.251436 12.204076 30.932967 84.492891 275.929443